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Belarus
Power-struggles cause turmoil in Minsk security circles

Smear campaigns, orchestrated leaks and a coup plot: with Belarus' role in the war in Ukraine in the balance, the country's political and security elite have been struggling to have President Alexander Lukashenko's ear and the support of the intelligence services. [...]

Published on 12/04/2022 at 06:00 GMT Reading time 2 minutes

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Government Intelligence

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Alexander Lukachenko
Alexander Volfovich
Belamova
Collective Security Treaty Organisation
FSB
Igor Sergeenko
Ivan Tertel
KDB
KGB
Nikolai Karpenkov
Telegram

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Lukashenko positions his securocrats in National People's Assembly

The Belarusian regime is in the middle of a major institutional reshuffle, recruiting experienced and articulate supporters from the ranks of the security, political and media apparatus to fill positions at the heart of Minsk's future power centre.

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Belarus' President Alexander Lukashenko at the Constantine Palace in Strelna, outside Saint Petersburg, on 23 July 2023.

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A handful of security chiefs, who are key to Alexander Lukashenko's hold on power, are jostling for position against a background of uncertainty about Wagner's position in Belarus.

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Belarusian border guards change chief as crisis brews

Lukashenko has replaced one of his most loyal security lieutenants, Anatoly Lappo, at the head of the State Border Committee as tensions rise at the country's borders. He has been replaced by Konstantin Molostov whose background reflects Minsk's short-term strategic thinking.

Subscribers only Government Intelligence 09.06.2023

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Loyal lieutenant Nikolai Karpenkov prepares for post-Lukashenko

Acting on persistent rumours of President Alexander Lukashenko's possible replacement, his faithful security chief and deputy interior minister colonel Karpenkov has been rallying his network of journalists and experts to broadcast messages of support for the leader and preferred succession scenarios.

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Russia's Rosvgardia trains new elite units in Minsk

Belarus's powerful deputy interior minister and Commander of the Belarusian Internal Troops Nikolai Karpenkov launched a collaboration with the Russian National Guard in January which is now in full swing.

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Lukashenko takes care to keep Russophile strongman Karpenkov onside

The regime's creation of a commission supposedly to facilitate the return of political exiles to Belarus is intended to send a message both to Washington and to Belarus's siloviki. The measure is largely symbolic, since powerful deputy internal affairs minister Nikolay Karpenkov is opposed to any attempt to appease the country's dissidents.

Subscribers only Government Intelligence 15.02.2023

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Combative opposition homes in on Lukashenko's private security firm Gardservis

As the risk of political unrest in Belarus grows and the war in Ukraine threatens to spill over its southern border, the Belorussian president is cranking up his own personal security, for which he relies on the small private company Gardservis.

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Lukashenko fantasises about militarising the KGB

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Belarusian president Alexander Lukashenko.

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Versatility-driven Minsk focuses on made-in-Belarus arms

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Subscribers only International Dealmaking 01.06.2022

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on May 16, 2022, during the meeting of heads of state of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation.

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Alisia, the French operation that neutralised Lukashenko

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Subscribers only Government Intelligence 07.03.2022

Russian President Vladimir Putin (R) and Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko (L) during exercises of the Russian strategic deterrent forces in Moscow, 19 February 2022.

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Under pressure from Moscow, Lukashenko closes ranks around his new constitutional project

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President of Russia Vladimir Putin and President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko, at Sochi on the 15th of February 2019.

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Lukashenko holds off on inevitable KGB reform

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Lukashenko strengthens national security council to keep grip on power

Alexander Lukashenko is trying to save his succession to ensure continuity in the event of a coup d'état by planning the transfer of his presidential powers to a renewed national security council.

Subscribers only Government Intelligence 05.05.2021

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Alexander Lukachenko
Alexander Volfovich
Belamova
Collective Security Treaty Organisation
FSB
Igor Sergeenko
Ivan Tertel
KDB
KGB
Nikolai Karpenkov
Telegram

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Belarus
Power-struggles cause turmoil in Minsk security circles

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Set up email notifications for these topics

Belarus
Lukashenko positions his securocrats in National People's Assembly

Belarus
Minsk security agencies compete for attention amid fears for their futures

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Belarusian border guards change chief as crisis brews

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Indigo Publications' websites

China, Europe, India, Russia, Saudi Arabia, UAE, United States The geopolitical power plays in Earth observation

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Insiders | Qatar Barzan Holdings, Qatar's defence industry giant springing up out of the desert

Belarus Power-struggles cause turmoil in Minsk security circles

This article may be accessed by subscribers

Do you want a free trial before subscribing?

Create your free account

create a free account

Set up email notifications for these topics

Belarus Lukashenko positions his securocrats in National People's Assembly

Belarus Minsk security agencies compete for attention amid fears for their futures

Belarus Belarusian border guards change chief as crisis brews

Belarus Loyal lieutenant Nikolai Karpenkov prepares for post-Lukashenko

Belarus, Russia Russia's Rosvgardia trains new elite units in Minsk

Belarus, Russia Lukashenko takes care to keep Russophile strongman Karpenkov onside

Belarus Combative opposition homes in on Lukashenko's private security firm Gardservis

Belarus Lukashenko fantasises about militarising the KGB

Belarus, Russia Belarus's KGB administers caution on intelligence cooperation with Russia

Belarus Versatility-driven Minsk focuses on made-in-Belarus arms

Spotlight | Belarus, Russia How Russia is working to absorb Belarusian news networks into sovereign internet

Belarus, Russia Minsk opposition keeps up connections with Moscow

Spotlight | Belarus Minsk securocrats team up with dissidents to paint a picture of occupation

Belarus, France Alisia, the French operation that neutralised Lukashenko

Belarus, Russia Under pressure from Moscow, Lukashenko closes ranks around his new constitutional project

Belarus Lukashenko holds off on inevitable KGB reform

Belarus Uneasy Lukashenko presses ahead with his reform of the national security council

Belarus Lukashenko strengthens national security council to keep grip on power

Set up email notifications for these topics

About Intelligence Online

Subscription

Intelligence Online on social media

Indigo Publications' websites

China, Europe, India, Russia, Saudi Arabia, UAE, United States
The geopolitical power plays in Earth observation

China, Europe
Chinese influence and interference in Western Europe

Armenia, Azerbaijan, France
Information wars in the Caucasus

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Intelligence memos and grey zones before French courts

Central America, China, South America
Beijing on the offensive in Washington's spheres of influence

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Lukashenko positions his securocrats in National People's Assembly

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Minsk security agencies compete for attention amid fears for their futures

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Belarusian border guards change chief as crisis brews

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Loyal lieutenant Nikolai Karpenkov prepares for post-Lukashenko

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Russia's Rosvgardia trains new elite units in Minsk

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Combative opposition homes in on Lukashenko's private security firm Gardservis

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Lukashenko fantasises about militarising the KGB

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Belarus's KGB administers caution on intelligence cooperation with Russia

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Versatility-driven Minsk focuses on made-in-Belarus arms

Spotlight | Belarus, Russia
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Minsk opposition keeps up connections with Moscow

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Minsk securocrats team up with dissidents to paint a picture of occupation

Belarus, France
Alisia, the French operation that neutralised Lukashenko

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Lukashenko holds off on inevitable KGB reform

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Uneasy Lukashenko presses ahead with his reform of the national security council

Belarus
Lukashenko strengthens national security council to keep grip on power